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30-Sep-2022
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Beware of China

          The long simmering discontent with  China is coalescing into an incipient anti- Beijing coalition. Parallel naval  exercises on  South China Sea and Indian Ocean by the U.S. and its quad allies are the most recent examples of changing dynamics. China too has  been mobilizing its  belt  and Road Partners  and developing country friends as shown by  53 countries lining up to support 

imposition of Chinas national  security law on Hong Kong. The future will tell if this is a passing phenomenon or if we are witnessing the emergence of a new cold war divide over trade, technology and security issues.

The covid-19 crisis has exposed the crippling dependency of global industrial production  on Chinese supply chains. One of the earliest efforts was virtual meetings between the U.S. and a  number of countries to seek  alternatives.  But the effort to replace the Chinese supply chain  has to be tempered by realization of the significant amount of time and money it would take. Meanwhile,  manufacturers all over the world would have to rely on Chinese suppliers.

Thousands of small fishing vessels manned by ex-navy personnel-the so called ‘little blue men’-are key actors in Chinas naval aggression. China has succeeded in turning the  South China Sea into a Chinese lake because of their asymmetric warfare involving the People’s Armed Forces Maritime Militia(PAFMM).

Thousands of their vessels swarm the waters engaged in fishing but more importantly in  combat  operations and enforcing Chinese control against foreign vessels.                                                                                                                                                                         Extracts  from Nayan Chanda’s article 

               India  is viewed in Chinese policy circles as a subordinate middle power that likes to create  mischief for  Beijing occasionally needs to be reminded of its place in the  pecking order.

Chinese activities this time  have been far more provocative, and that is likely a product of the wolf warrier diplomacy we have been seeing across the region.

China poses a growing threat to the U S and requires a more robust response.

The U S has been rather stalwart in supporting India across several international issues and crises in recent years, from  balakot,  pulwama, the belt and road initiative, article 370, sanctions on  Pakisthani-based terrorists, the nuclear suppliers group etc.

I believe the strategic partnership with India will endure beyond the trump administration. The india- U S partnership has enjoyed sustained bipartisan support in both countries across multiple governments and I don’t expect a fundamentally change.

 Jeff Smith, Heritage Foundaion Scholar,  interview by Chidanand Rajghatta(from TOI)

                U. S. President  Donald  Trump and his Secretary of State  Mike  Pompeo  both delivered broadsides against  Beijing, firmly placing China as the new geo-political danger to the free world. The U. S.  will not sit back in the face of the “China threat”  to our economy, for our liberty, and indeed for the future of free democracies around the world.  The necessity of a new grouping of like minded nations, a new alliance of democracies  to take on China  cannot be neglected.  

The truth is that  our policies-and those of other free nations-resurrected Chinas failing economy, only to see Beijing bite the international hands that we were feeding it.

For too long we let the Chinese Communist Party set the terms of engagement, but no longer. Free nations must set the tone. we must operate on the same principles.

The challenge of china demands exertion, energy from democracies-those in  Europe, those in Africa, those in South  America, and especially those in the Indo-Pacific region.  So we can’t face this challenge alone.  The U. N. , Nato, the G7, the G20, our combined economic, diplomatic, and military power is surely enough to meet this challenge if we direct it clearly and with great  courage.                                                                                                  U S.Secretary of State  Mike  Pompeo, from news

                Nayan Chanda                              Jeff Smith                                                 Mike  Pompeo