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30-Apr-2024
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Economic Emergencies worldwide 

Governments across the world have decided to ban currency notes in circulation, rendering huge amounts of cash useless overnight, due to a plethora of reasons. These include fighting counterfeiting, stopping terror activities or like in India’s case, battling black money.

               To check black money, Govt  of India,  announced demonetization of Rs 500 and 1000 currency notes. This move will also cause short-term pain and chaos for the working class.
 
                As per the Indian Economic Reports, Pakistan’s military intelligence agency, the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), has been minting an annual profit of around Rs.5billion by circulating counterfeit notes in India. The ISI has been making a profit of 30-40% on the face value of each counterfeit rupee produced in Pakistan. The cost of printing a Rs.1,000 counterfeit note, for instance, is Rs 39 but is sold at Rs.350- 400. The total number of fake notes that came into India in 2010 from abroad was pegged at Rs.16billion. The move to stop Rs.500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes is a “death blow” to terrorist agencies and their sponsors. 

         Black money, ie., the unaccounted money, often used in any form of corruption or illicit deals, usually takes the 

form of high-value notes. These large-value notes were being used to finance corruption and fund terrorism. Different countries have also shifted to new bank notes due to a change in government, social change and hyper-inflation.It has, for the past five years, been proposed by a number of academic institutions, think-tanks and international bodies that look to crack down on tax evasion, corruption and terrorism-financing.

               To deter counterfeiting, Switzerland has a reserve series of notes. A series of Swiss Franc 10 notes were printed by the Swiss National Bank in 1984.But the notes were never issued and the notes are currently still in reserve.

                 Last year Philippines also introduced the country’s new generation  Bank notes to avoid counter feting.

                  In February this year, European Central Bank head Mario Draghi announced that they were considering abolishing the region’s most-valuable bank note (the 500 euro bill) in order to curb tax evasion and terrorism financing.
                  In the same month, former US treasury secretary Larry Summers also recommended that the $100 bill be demonetized.

                  In India, The present bank notes have been in circulation for 30 years. Old bank notes can only be used for transactions until December this year, and could only be replaced by banks until December 2016.

                  The Financial Action Task Force, a global body that looks at the criminal use of the international financial system, notes that high-value bills are used in money laundering schemes, racketeering, 

and drug and people trafficking.  In India, the Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes also constitute a huge percentage of the money spent by governments, political parties and candidates during general elections. A Centre for Media Studies report showed that nearly Rs 30,000 crore was spent during the 2014 general election, while official spending only accounted for Rs 7,000-Rs 8,000 crore. 

          Peter Sands, a senior fellow at Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government, in recent times, has done some interesting work regarding banning large-value notes as a means of cracking down on global crime and corruption. Some notable examples are Zimbabwe, Australia and Pakistan.  Due to chronic hyperinflation in Zimbabwe, the government was at one point printing a currency note with a face value of one hundred trillion dollars. This obviously rendered lesser denominations obsolete, which were taken out of circulation quickly.

          In 1996, Australia became the first country to have a full series of circulating polymer bank notes after replacing all paper-based notes, which the government systemically made non-tender for legal purposes. To stop widespread counterfeiting, the Reserve Bank of Australia had released the world's first long lasting and counterfeit-resistant polymer (plastic) banknotes.

          Pakistan has decided to phase out all currency notes with old designs. From December 1, all currency notes across denominations will cease to be legal tender in Pakistan. Islamabad has been trying to bring in new designs and security features to its currency. However, its citizens have nearly a a year and half to exchange notes. The country had earlier 

demonetised 5 and 500 denomination notes.

              Again in Australia, more than 33,000 fake $50 notes were removed from circulation in 2014-15, triple the number detected just two years ago, government figures show. But this likely represents only a fraction of the amount of bogus money flowing through the economy amid a massive spike in the number of counterfeiting operations being uncovered by police. Counterfeiters are now able to produce large runs of fake bills using equipment readily available to the public that are high-quality enough to fool even the forgery detection systems used at banks.

               Even within India, there have been some signs that this was in the offing. Two years ago, for instance, the RBI announced that it was phasing out and decommissioning all currency notes issued before 2005. While this was done mostly to weed out fake notes, multiple analysts point out that it was also an attempt at rooting out black money. People who didn’t come forward in the initial three-month exchange period would have to furnish tax and identification proof to exchange large numbers of pre-2005 currency. The numbers and calculations for this are mind-boggling. 

                                                                   j.p.